Columbus Blue Jackets at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2023-03-19 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

VGK: 62.8%

CBJ: 37.2%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.49

CBJ: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 54%

VGK

J. Patera

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	J. Patera	37	35	2	94.6%	4.38	2	2.38
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	41	34	7	82.9%	3.90	4	-3.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • VGK at home vs CBJ: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	VGK 5 - 3 CBJ	VGK	VGK
2025-12-13	CBJ 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-03-13	CBJ 0 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-30	VGK 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	VGK
2024-03-23	VGK 4 - 2 CBJ	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	15	1	1.36
1	CBJ	11	0	1.13
2	VGK	19	1	1.40
2	CBJ	18	1	1.41
3	VGK	12	2	1.14
3	CBJ	15	1	1.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9