Nashville Predators at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2023-03-19 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 7 - 0 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

NYR: 57.5%

NSH: 42.5%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.82

NSH: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 51%

NYR

J. Halak

NSH

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	J. Halak	22	22	0	100.0%	1.69	0	1.69
NSH	K. Lankinen	34	27	7	79.4%	3.72	2	-3.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	NSH 2 - 1 NYR	NSH	NSH
2025-11-10	NYR 6 - 3 NSH	NYR	NYR
2025-03-02	NYR 4 - 0 NSH	NYR	NYR
2024-12-17	NSH 2 - 0 NYR	NSH	NSH
2023-12-02	NSH 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	14	0	0.87
1	NSH	8	0	0.56
2	NYR	13	2	1.49
2	NSH	12	0	0.76
3	NYR	16	0	1.36
3	NSH	8	0	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 7 - 0 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.8 - 2.9