Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2023-03-19 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

ANA: 46.3%

VAN: 53.7%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.67

VAN: 4.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 52%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

VAN

C. Delia

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	40	38	2	95.0%	4.26	2	2.26
VAN	C. Delia	18	17	1	94.4%	1.51	0	0.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • ANA at home vs VAN: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	ANA 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	ANA
2026-03-24	VAN 3 - 5 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-01-29	VAN 2 - 0 ANA	VAN	ANA
2025-11-26	ANA 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	ANA
2025-04-05	VAN 6 - 2 ANA	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	5	0	0.25
1	VAN	19	0	0.68
2	ANA	10	0	0.64
2	VAN	22	0	1.33
3	ANA	13	0	0.62
3	VAN	12	2	2.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.7 - 4.0