Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-03-20 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 8 - 2 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

LAK: 51.5%

CGY: 48.5%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.84

CGY: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 51%

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	18	16	2	88.9%	2.27	0	0.27
CGY	J. Markstrom	39	31	8	79.5%	3.36	1	-4.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • LAK at home vs CGY: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	CGY 3 - 1 LAK	CGY	CGY
2026-03-24	CGY 3 - 2 LAK	CGY	LAK
2026-02-28	LAK 2 - 0 CGY	LAK	LAK
2025-12-13	LAK 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	LAK
2025-04-17	LAK 1 - 5 CGY	CGY	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	14	1	1.14
1	CGY	6	0	0.18
2	LAK	14	0	0.95
2	CGY	16	0	1.41
3	LAK	15	0	1.27
3	CGY	10	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 8 - 2 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0