Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2023-03-23 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

ANA: 38.7%

WPG: 61.3%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.55

WPG: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 48%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	33	30	3	90.9%	3.86	2	0.86
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	20	18	2	90.0%	1.67	0	-0.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	WPG 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG
2026-02-27	ANA 5 - 4 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-11-09	ANA 4 - 1 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-04-16	WPG 2 - 1 ANA	WPG	WPG
2025-01-02	WPG 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	10	0	0.42
1	WPG	21	0	1.02
2	ANA	6	0	0.33
2	WPG	15	0	0.83
3	ANA	19	0	0.92
3	WPG	17	2	2.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.6 - 3.3