St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2023-03-25 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

ANA: 47.7%

STL: 52.3%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.99

STL: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 53%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	36	30	6	83.3%	3.77	0	-2.23
STL	Jordan Binnington	25	22	3	88.0%	2.31	0	-0.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • ANA at home vs STL: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	ANA 2 - 6 STL	STL	ANA
2026-03-08	ANA 0 - 4 STL	STL	ANA
2025-12-01	STL 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	STL
2025-03-16	STL 7 - 2 ANA	STL	STL
2025-03-07	ANA 3 - 4 STL	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	ANA	14	1.01
1	STL	20	1.68
2	ANA	17	0.81
2	STL	16	1.06
3	ANA	12	0.49
3	STL	12	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1