Vancouver Canucks at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2023-03-26 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

CHI: 44.5%

VAN: 55.5%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.41

VAN: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

VAN

C. Delia

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	31	27	4	87.1%	3.37	3	-0.63
VAN	C. Delia	31	29	2	93.5%	1.97	0	-0.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • CHI at home vs VAN: 0-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	CHI 3 - 6 VAN	VAN	CHI
2025-11-05	VAN 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	VAN
2025-10-17	CHI 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	CHI
2025-03-15	VAN 6 - 2 CHI	VAN	VAN
2024-11-16	VAN 4 - 1 CHI	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	8	0	0.42
1	VAN	14	1	0.97
2	CHI	9	0	0.25
2	VAN	12	0	0.98
3	CHI	21	0	1.29
3	VAN	16	2	1.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2