Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2023-03-27 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

ANA: 44.2%

COL: 55.8%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.93

COL: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 52%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

COL

J. Johansson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	44	39	5	88.6%	3.93	1	-1.07
COL	J. Johansson	30	29	1	96.7%	2.31	0	1.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ANA at home vs COL: 1-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	ANA 1 - 5 COL	COL	ANA
2026-01-21	COL 1 - 2 ANA	ANA	COL
2025-11-11	COL 4 - 1 ANA	COL	COL
2025-04-13	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-20	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	13	0	1.03
1	COL	18	0	0.97
2	ANA	15	0	0.60
2	COL	17	0	1.06
3	ANA	13	0	0.68
3	COL	22	1	1.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1