Edmonton Oilers at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2023-03-27 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

ARI: 34.3%

EDM: 65.7%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.56

EDM: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	29	24	5	82.8%	3.51	2	-1.49
EDM	Jack Campbell	33	29	4	87.9%	3.42	2	-0.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs EDM: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-17	ARI 5 - 2 EDM	ARI	EDM
2024-04-12	EDM 2 - 3 ARI	ARI	EDM
2024-02-19	ARI 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2023-03-27	ARI 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2023-03-22	EDM 4 - 3 ARI	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	16	1	1.43
1	EDM	15	0	1.11
2	ARI	6	0	0.48
2	EDM	17	1	1.33
3	ARI	16	1	1.51
3	EDM	13	1	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.6 - 3.0