Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2023-03-28 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 6 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

NYR: 62.6%

CBJ: 37.4%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.26

CBJ: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 53%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CBJ

M. Hutchinson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	30	28	2	93.3%	2.79	2	0.79
CBJ	M. Hutchinson	36	30	6	83.3%	4.22	3	-1.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs CBJ: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	CBJ 6 - 3 NYR	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-02	NYR 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-15	CBJ 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-15	CBJ 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-09	NYR 3 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	23	0	1.24
1	CBJ	14	1	0.95
2	NYR	14	1	1.51
2	CBJ	15	0	0.87
3	NYR	10	2	1.47
3	CBJ	12	1	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 6 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9