Nashville Predators at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2023-03-28 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 1 - 2 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 59.3%

NSH: 40.7%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.94

NSH: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 50%

BOS

L. Ullmark

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	23	21	2	91.3%	2.60	2	0.60
NSH	Juuse Saros	36	35	1	97.2%	3.36	1	2.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-05	NSH 6 - 3 BOS	NSH	NSH
2026-01-27	BOS 3 - 2 NSH	BOS	NSH
2025-03-04	BOS 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	NSH
2024-10-22	NSH 4 - 0 BOS	NSH	NSH
2024-04-02	NSH 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	12	0	0.78
1	NSH	12	1	0.80
2	BOS	20	0	1.33
2	NSH	13	0	1.13
3	BOS	24	1	1.25
3	NSH	5	1	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 1 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9