Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2023-03-28 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 0 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

SJS: 51.7%

WPG: 48.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.91

WPG: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 55%

SJS

J. Reimer

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	41	41	0	100.0%	3.48	0	3.48
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	30	27	3	90.0%	2.16	0	-0.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SJS at home vs WPG: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	WPG 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	WPG
2026-03-01	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-11-07	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-02-24	WPG 2 - 1 SJS	WPG	WPG
2024-12-17	SJS 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	SJS	15	1.04
1	WPG	19	0.89
2	SJS	13	0.64
2	WPG	19	1.27
3	SJS	12	0.47
3	WPG	23	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 0 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2