St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2023-03-30 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

CHI: 49.4%

STL: 50.6%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.14

STL: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	29	24	5	82.8%	2.88	2	-2.12
STL	Jordan Binnington	33	30	3	90.9%	3.31	3	0.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • CHI at home vs STL: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	CHI 3 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2026-01-07	CHI 7 - 3 STL	CHI	STL
2025-12-12	STL 3 - 2 CHI	STL	STL
2025-10-15	STL 3 - 8 CHI	CHI	STL
2025-03-22	STL 4 - 1 CHI	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	14	1	0.95
1	STL	9	0	0.79
2	CHI	19	2	1.47
2	STL	20	0	0.97
3	CHI	17	0	0.88
3	STL	9	2	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3