Anaheim Ducks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-03-30 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

SEA: 65.7%

ANA: 34.3%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.89

ANA: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

SEA

M. Jones

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	M. Jones	19	18	1	94.7%	0.95	0	-0.05
ANA	Lukas Dostal	39	35	4	89.7%	4.39	2	0.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • SEA at home vs ANA: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-03	ANA 4 - 2 SEA	ANA	ANA
2026-01-23	SEA 2 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-12-22	ANA 1 - 3 SEA	SEA	ANA
2025-10-09	SEA 3 - 1 ANA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-28	SEA 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	21	1	2.04
1	ANA	9	0	0.27
2	SEA	16	0	0.82
2	ANA	8	0	0.39
3	SEA	22	1	1.53
3	ANA	6	0	0.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.9 - 3.2