Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2023-03-31 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

WPG: 75.5%

DET: 24.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.42

DET: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

DET

M. Hellberg

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	25	23	2	92.0%	2.33	0	0.33
DET	M. Hellberg	29	23	6	79.3%	3.75	5	-2.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs DET: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-24	WPG 1 - 5 DET	DET	WPG
2025-12-31	DET 2 - 1 WPG	DET	DET
2025-01-04	WPG 2 - 4 DET	DET	WPG
2024-10-30	DET 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2023-12-20	WPG 5 - 2 DET	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	20	4	2.20
1	DET	6	0	0.51
2	WPG	12	0	0.80
2	DET	9	0	0.21
3	WPG	10	1	0.75
3	DET	24	0	1.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8