New Jersey Devils at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2023-04-01 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 6 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

CHI: 43.3%

NJD: 56.7%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.89

NJD: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

CHI

A. Stalock

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	A. Stalock	40	34	6	85.0%	3.68	2	-2.32
NJD	M. Blackwood	17	14	3	82.4%	1.14	1	-1.86

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • CHI at home vs NJD: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	NJD 5 - 3 CHI	NJD	NJD
2025-11-12	CHI 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-03-26	CHI 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-12-14	NJD 4 - 1 CHI	NJD	NJD
2024-01-05	NJD 4 - 2 CHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	4	0	0.22
1	NJD	11	0	0.55
2	CHI	13	1	0.68
2	NJD	19	0	1.08
3	CHI	7	0	0.24
3	NJD	19	2	2.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 6 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5