Los Angeles Kings at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-04-01 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 51.4%

LAK: 48.6%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.16

LAK: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

SEA

M. Jones

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	M. Jones	19	16	3	84.2%	2.07	1	-0.93
LAK	Pheonix Copley	26	25	1	96.2%	1.62	1	0.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • SEA at home vs LAK: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	SEA 3 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-02-04	LAK 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	LAK
2025-12-23	LAK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	LAK
2025-12-10	SEA 3 - 2 LAK	SEA	SEA
2025-04-15	SEA 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	9	0	0.27
1	LAK	12	0	0.34
2	SEA	11	0	0.30
2	LAK	14	0	0.55
3	SEA	18	1	1.05
3	LAK	9	1	1.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1