San Jose Sharks at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2023-04-01 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 7 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

ARI: 45.9%

SJS: 54.1%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.34

SJS: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

ARI

I. Prosvetov

SJS

K. Kahkonen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	I. Prosvetov	31	24	7	77.4%	3.40	2	-3.60
SJS	K. Kahkonen	31	29	2	93.5%	3.19	3	1.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • ARI at home vs SJS: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-07	SJS 2 - 5 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-12-21	SJS 2 - 5 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-12-15	ARI 1 - 0 SJS	ARI	ARI
2023-04-01	ARI 2 - 7 SJS	SJS	SJS
2023-01-10	ARI 2 - 4 SJS	SJS	SJS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	17	0	0.75
1	SJS	15	0	1.23
2	ARI	9	0	0.71
2	SJS	14	2	1.56
3	ARI	18	3	1.73
3	SJS	9	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 7 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1