Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2023-04-02 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Boston Bruins (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 50.9%

BOS: 49.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.91

BOS: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	32	28	4	87.5%	4.33	3	0.33
BOS	L. Ullmark	40	37	3	92.5%	3.36	0	0.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • STL at home vs BOS: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	STL 2 - 5 BOS	BOS	STL
2025-12-04	BOS 5 - 2 STL	BOS	STL
2024-11-16	BOS 2 - 3 STL	STL	BOS
2024-11-12	STL 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	BOS
2024-03-11	BOS 1 - 5 STL	STL	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	11	0	0.52
1	BOS	13	1	0.81
2	STL	18	0	0.91
2	BOS	15	0	1.34
3	STL	19	0	1.50
3	BOS	10	1	1.11
4	STL	2	0	0.25
4	BOS	2	0	0.21
5	STL	3	0	0.18
5	BOS	2	1	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3