New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-04-02 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 New York Islanders

Win Probability

CAR: 64.3%

NYI: 35.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.39

NYI: 2.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 46%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	22	21	1	95.5%	1.47	0	0.47
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	35	33	2	94.3%	3.61	3	1.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • CAR at home vs NYI: 11-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	1	1.28
1	NYI	10	0	0.37
2	CAR	18	0	1.11
2	NYI	11	0	0.51
3	CAR	13	2	1.22
3	NYI	13	0	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.4 - 2.5