Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2023-04-02 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators (OT)

Win Probability

CBJ: 60.0%

OTT: 40.0%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.37

OTT: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

CBJ

J. Gillies

OTT

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Gillies	27	24	3	88.9%	2.91	0	-0.09
OTT	C. Talbot	22	18	4	81.8%	2.30	0	-1.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs OTT: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-20	CBJ 1 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-29	OTT 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	OTT
2025-12-11	CBJ 3 - 6 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-04-08	CBJ 5 - 2 OTT	CBJ	OTT
2025-04-06	OTT 4 - 0 CBJ	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	CBJ	12	0.70
1	OTT	19	0.99
2	CBJ	10	0.96
2	OTT	16	1.06
3	CBJ	11	0.50
3	OTT	13	0.86
4	CBJ	1	0.13
4	OTT	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9