Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2023-04-02 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 60.6%

LAK: 39.4%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.06

LAK: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 45%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

LAK

J. Korpisalo

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	25	21	4	84.0%	3.20	2	-0.80
LAK	J. Korpisalo	25	24	1	96.0%	2.53	0	1.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • VAN at home vs LAK: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	VAN 4 - 3 LAK	VAN	VAN
2026-04-09	LAK 4 - 1 VAN	LAK	LAK
2026-03-26	VAN 0 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-11-29	LAK 2 - 1 VAN	LAK	LAK
2025-02-26	LAK 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	16	0	1.21
1	LAK	10	0	0.43
2	VAN	9	0	0.36
2	LAK	10	0	0.43
3	VAN	13	0	0.96
3	LAK	15	2	2.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8