Arizona Coyotes at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2023-04-03 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 8 - 1 Arizona Coyotes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 63.6%
ARI: 36.4%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.65
ARI: 3.27
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA
ARI
I. Prosvetov
| Stat | SEA | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.920 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.32 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Philipp Grubauer | 21 | 20 | 1 | 95.2% | 1.52 | 1 | 0.52 |
| ARI | I. Prosvetov | 32 | 24 | 8 | 75.0% | 2.83 | 2 | -5.17 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs ARI: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-09 | SEA 5 - 0 ARI | SEA | SEA |
| 2024-03-22 | ARI 2 - 1 SEA | ARI | ARI |
| 2023-11-07 | ARI 4 - 3 SEA | ARI | ARI |
| 2023-04-10 | ARI 1 - 4 SEA | SEA | ARI |
| 2023-04-06 | SEA 4 - 2 ARI | SEA | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 13 | 0 | 0.62 |
| 1 | ARI | 11 | 0 | 0.36 |
| 2 | SEA | 12 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 2 | ARI | 11 | 0 | 0.66 |
| 3 | SEA | 17 | 2 | 1.58 |
| 3 | ARI | 7 | 1 | 0.51 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 8 - 1 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 3.6 - 3.3
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.