Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-04-04 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators (OT)

Win Probability

CAR: 64.5%

OTT: 35.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.73

OTT: 2.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

CAR

A. Raanta

OTT

Leevi Meriläinen - 5-7-0 | 0.872 SV% | 3.46 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	28	26	2	92.9%	2.80	1	0.80
OTT	Leevi Meriläinen	37	34	3	91.9%	3.37	0	0.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • CAR at home vs OTT: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-25	OTT 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-23	OTT 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-20	CAR 3 - 2 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-18	CAR 2 - 0 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-05	OTT 6 - 3 CAR	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	0	1.19
1	OTT	13	0	0.62
2	CAR	16	0	0.90
2	OTT	16	0	1.08
3	CAR	17	0	0.87
3	OTT	17	1	1.10
4	CAR	4	0	0.42
4	OTT	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.7 - 2.2