Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-04-04 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)

Win Probability

NSH: 51.7%

VGK: 48.3%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.20

VGK: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

NSH

K. Lankinen

VGK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	K. Lankinen	32	30	2	93.8%	3.20	0	1.20
VGK	J. Quick	27	24	3	88.9%	2.22	1	-0.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NSH at home vs VGK: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	VGK
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	18	1	1.25
1	VGK	21	0	1.42
2	NSH	7	0	0.46
2	VGK	20	0	1.18
3	NSH	10	0	0.32
3	VGK	10	0	0.60
4	NSH	2	0	0.19
4	VGK	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1