Buffalo Sabres at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2023-04-06 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 6 - 7 Buffalo Sabres (SO)

Win Probability

DET: 46.8%

BUF: 53.2%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.97

BUF: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 41%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

BUF

D. Levi

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	39	31	8	79.5%	5.09	2	-2.91
BUF	D. Levi	35	28	7	80.0%	4.09	4	-2.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • DET at home vs BUF: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	BUF 2 - 5 DET	DET	BUF
2025-11-15	DET 4 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-10-22	BUF 4 - 2 DET	BUF	BUF
2025-03-12	DET 7 - 3 BUF	DET	DET
2024-12-09	BUF 5 - 6 DET	DET	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	10	0	0.53
1	BUF	20	0	1.21
2	DET	17	1	1.32
2	BUF	10	0	0.68
3	DET	11	2	0.95
3	BUF	12	0	0.81
4	DET	2	0	0.23
4	BUF	6	0	0.49
5	DET	3	1	1.06
5	BUF	3	2	1.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 6 - 7 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2