Carolina Hurricanes at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-04-06 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (68% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 31.6%

CAR: 68.4%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.19

CAR: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	33	33	0	100.0%	2.05	0	2.05
CAR	Frederik Andersen	23	20	3	87.0%	2.22	1	-0.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs CAR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-17	NSH 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-06	CAR 6 - 3 NSH	CAR	CAR
2025-03-25	CAR 1 - 3 NSH	NSH	CAR
2024-12-23	NSH 5 - 2 CAR	NSH	NSH
2023-12-27	NSH 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	10	0	0.75
1	CAR	17	0	0.82
2	NSH	10	0	0.59
2	CAR	18	0	0.91
3	NSH	12	1	0.89
3	CAR	13	0	0.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2