Arizona Coyotes at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-04-06 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

SEA: 59.9%

ARI: 40.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.73

ARI: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	29	27	2	93.1%	2.20	1	0.20
ARI	K. Vejmelka	34	30	4	88.2%	3.88	3	-0.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs ARI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-09	SEA 5 - 0 ARI	SEA	SEA
2024-03-22	ARI 2 - 1 SEA	ARI	ARI
2023-11-07	ARI 4 - 3 SEA	ARI	ARI
2023-04-10	ARI 1 - 4 SEA	SEA	ARI
2023-04-06	SEA 4 - 2 ARI	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	16	1	1.39
1	ARI	12	0	0.57
2	SEA	8	1	1.00
2	ARI	10	0	0.50
3	SEA	18	1	1.49
3	ARI	19	1	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.7 - 3.3