Anaheim Ducks at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2023-04-08 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 4 Anaheim Ducks (OT)

Win Probability

ARI: 60.4%

ANA: 39.6%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.88

ANA: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

ARI

I. Prosvetov

ANA

O. Eriksson Ek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	I. Prosvetov	29	25	4	86.2%	2.83	1	-1.17
ANA	O. Eriksson Ek	39	34	5	87.2%	3.13	2	-1.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ARI at home vs ANA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-12-29	ANA 0 - 2 ARI	ARI	ANA
2023-11-01	ANA 4 - 3 ARI	ANA	ARI
2023-10-21	ARI 2 - 1 ANA	ARI	ARI
2023-04-08	ARI 5 - 4 ANA	ARI	ARI
2023-01-28	ANA 2 - 1 ARI	ANA	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	13	1	0.78
1	ANA	17	0	1.46
2	ARI	16	0	0.68
2	ANA	11	0	0.35
3	ARI	19	1	1.23
3	ANA	8	1	0.69
4	ARI	4	0	0.44
4	ANA	3	0	0.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.9 - 3.0