Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2023-04-08 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

NYI: 53.1%

PHI: 46.9%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.12

PHI: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 75%

Over 6.5: 53%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

PHI

C. Hart

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	27	27	0	100.0%	2.05	1	2.05
PHI	C. Hart	21	17	4	81.0%	2.37	0	-1.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • NYI at home vs PHI: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	NYI 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2026-01-26	PHI 0 - 4 NYI	NYI	PHI
2025-11-28	NYI 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2025-10-25	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI
2025-04-12	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	15	0	0.73
1	PHI	21	1	1.11
2	NYI	14	0	1.17
2	PHI	7	0	0.23
3	NYI	6	0	0.46
3	PHI	15	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9