Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2023-04-08 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 7 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 62.3%
CHI: 37.7%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.53
CHI: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
M. Jones
CHI
Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA
| Stat | SEA | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 3.05 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | M. Jones | 29 | 26 | 3 | 89.7% | 2.89 | 1 | -0.11 |
| CHI | Petr Mrazek | 31 | 24 | 7 | 77.4% | 3.59 | 3 | -3.41 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs CHI: 6-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | SEA 2 - 4 CHI | CHI | SEA |
| 2025-11-20 | CHI 2 - 3 SEA | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-11-03 | SEA 3 - 1 CHI | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-03-18 | CHI 2 - 6 SEA | SEA | SEA |
| 2024-12-19 | CHI 3 - 1 SEA | CHI | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 15 | 2 | 1.58 |
| 1 | CHI | 15 | 1 | 1.37 |
| 2 | SEA | 17 | 1 | 1.68 |
| 2 | CHI | 14 | 0 | 0.68 |
| 3 | SEA | 6 | 0 | 0.33 |
| 3 | CHI | 16 | 0 | 0.84 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 7 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.5 - 3.0
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