Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2023-04-10 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

CHI: 48.9%

MIN: 51.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.31

MIN: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 51%

CHI

A. Stalock

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	A. Stalock	22	18	4	81.8%	2.19	2	-1.81
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	42	40	2	95.2%	2.71	1	0.71

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • CHI at home vs MIN: 1-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	MIN 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	MIN
2026-03-17	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-27	MIN 4 - 3 CHI	MIN	MIN
2025-11-26	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-26	CHI 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	13	1	0.82
1	MIN	9	1	0.60
2	CHI	24	0	1.19
2	MIN	9	0	0.29
3	CHI	16	0	0.71
3	MIN	13	1	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2