Seattle Kraken at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2023-04-10 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 4 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 51.7%

SEA: 48.3%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.17

SEA: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

ARI

I. Prosvetov

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	I. Prosvetov	37	33	4	89.2%	2.96	1	-1.04
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	23	22	1	95.7%	2.11	0	1.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs SEA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-09	SEA 5 - 0 ARI	SEA	SEA
2024-03-22	ARI 2 - 1 SEA	ARI	ARI
2023-11-07	ARI 4 - 3 SEA	ARI	ARI
2023-04-10	ARI 1 - 4 SEA	SEA	ARI
2023-04-06	SEA 4 - 2 ARI	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	10	0	0.85
1	SEA	14	0	0.75
2	ARI	8	0	0.69
2	SEA	19	1	1.19
3	ARI	12	0	0.56
3	SEA	14	0	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0