Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-04-11 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

CAR: 74.8%

DET: 25.2%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.34

DET: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

CAR

A. Raanta

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	21	20	1	95.2%	1.47	0	0.47
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	28	24	4	85.7%	3.12	4	-0.88

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CAR at home vs DET: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2026-01-12	DET 4 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-12-27	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2025-04-04	DET 5 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-03-14	CAR 4 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	2	1.34
1	DET	8	0	0.41
2	CAR	16	0	0.65
2	DET	8	0	0.38
3	CAR	9	2	1.13
3	DET	10	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0