Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2023-04-11 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

MIN: 48.8%

WPG: 51.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.67

WPG: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	20	17	3	85.0%	2.01	2	-0.99
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	34	33	1	97.1%	3.80	3	2.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • MIN at home vs WPG: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	MIN 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	MIN
2025-12-27	WPG 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-11-23	WPG 0 - 3 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-10-28	MIN 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	MIN
2024-12-21	WPG 5 - 0 MIN	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	17	1	1.24
1	WPG	6	0	0.43
2	MIN	9	0	0.54
2	WPG	15	0	0.98
3	MIN	23	2	2.02
3	WPG	6	2	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.7 - 3.1