Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2023-04-11 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

VGK: 55.7%

SEA: 44.3%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.18

SEA: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

VGK

L. Brossoit

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	L. Brossoit	21	20	1	95.2%	1.85	0	0.85
SEA	Joey Daccord	37	33	4	89.2%	3.30	1	-0.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 42% • VGK at home vs SEA: 8-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK
2025-04-10	VGK 2 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	12	0	0.53
1	SEA	13	0	0.53
2	VGK	18	0	1.54
2	SEA	17	0	0.60
3	VGK	14	1	1.23
3	SEA	10	0	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1