Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-04-13 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 52.4%

CAR: 47.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.73

CAR: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

FLA

A. Lyon

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	A. Lyon	36	30	6	83.3%	4.08	2	-1.92
CAR	Frederik Andersen	34	30	4	88.2%	3.14	4	-0.86

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 48% • FLA at home vs CAR: 8-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	CAR 0 - 1 FLA	FLA	CAR
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	0	0.93
1	CAR	17	0	0.73
2	FLA	7	1	0.41
2	CAR	26	0	1.46
3	FLA	24	3	1.81
3	CAR	23	2	1.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.7 - 2.8