Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2023-04-13 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (63% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 36.7%

PIT: 63.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.59

PIT: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

CBJ

M. Hutchinson

PIT

Tristan Jarry - 16-12-6 | 0.892 SV% | 3.12 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	M. Hutchinson	36	34	2	94.4%	3.45	1	1.45
PIT	Tristan Jarry	34	31	3	91.2%	4.44	1	1.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CBJ at home vs PIT: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	PIT 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	PIT
2026-01-04	CBJ 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-28	CBJ 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	CBJ
2025-10-25	PIT 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-21	PIT 6 - 3 CBJ	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	11	0	0.90
1	PIT	19	0	1.02
2	CBJ	22	0	1.58
2	PIT	15	1	1.48
3	CBJ	17	1	1.80
3	PIT	15	0	0.96
4	CBJ	1	0	0.17
4	PIT	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 2.6 - 3.0