Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2023-04-13 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers (OT)

Win Probability

CHI: 47.4%

PHI: 52.6%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.08

PHI: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

CHI

A. Stalock

PHI

F. Sandstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	A. Stalock	36	31	5	86.1%	3.23	2	-1.77
PHI	F. Sandstrom	38	34	4	89.5%	2.86	1	-1.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs PHI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	PHI 5 - 1 CHI	PHI	PHI
2025-12-23	CHI 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-03-23	CHI 7 - 4 PHI	CHI	PHI
2024-11-23	PHI 3 - 2 CHI	PHI	PHI
2024-03-30	PHI 1 - 5 CHI	CHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	16	1	0.71
1	PHI	20	1	1.70
2	CHI	11	0	0.62
2	PHI	18	0	0.80
3	CHI	23	0	1.33
3	PHI	6	0	0.50
4	CHI	2	0	0.21
4	PHI	2	1	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2