Vancouver Canucks at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2023-04-13 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

Win Probability

ARI: 48.3%

VAN: 51.7%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.94

VAN: 3.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

VAN

C. Delia

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	24	19	5	79.2%	2.58	1	-2.42
VAN	C. Delia	28	24	4	85.7%	3.76	3	-0.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs VAN: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-10	VAN 3 - 4 ARI	ARI	VAN
2024-04-03	ARI 1 - 2 VAN	VAN	ARI
2024-01-18	VAN 2 - 1 ARI	VAN	VAN
2023-04-13	ARI 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	VAN
2023-03-16	ARI 3 - 2 VAN	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	10	1	0.95
1	VAN	19	1	1.28
2	ARI	21	1	1.73
2	VAN	4	0	0.24
3	ARI	14	1	1.02
3	VAN	10	0	0.88
4	ARI	1	0	0.07
4	VAN	1	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4