Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-04-13 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 60.5%

VGK: 39.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.74

VGK: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

VGK

L. Brossoit

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	19	16	3	84.2%	2.30	2	-0.70
VGK	L. Brossoit	31	30	1	96.8%	3.36	3	2.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 42% • SEA at home vs VGK: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK
2025-04-10	VGK 2 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	21	0	0.75
1	VGK	7	0	0.34
2	SEA	20	3	2.19
2	VGK	11	0	0.56
3	SEA	12	0	0.42
3	VGK	8	2	1.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.7 - 3.1