Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-04-28 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 7 - 5 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

FLA: 55.0%

BOS: 45.0%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.02

BOS: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 52%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	34	29	5	85.3%	3.01	1	-1.99
BOS	L. Ullmark	33	26	7	78.8%	3.97	4	-3.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • FLA at home vs BOS: 8-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	15	0	0.77
1	BOS	11	1	0.93
2	FLA	17	1	1.34
2	BOS	17	0	0.96
3	FLA	16	3	1.86
3	BOS	19	0	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 7 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2