New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-04-19 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 New York Islanders (OT)

Win Probability

CAR: 66.9%

NYI: 33.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.39

NYI: 2.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

CAR

A. Raanta

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	26	23	3	88.5%	2.42	0	-0.58
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	37	33	4	89.2%	3.23	2	-0.77

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • CAR at home vs NYI: 11-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	16	0	0.79
1	NYI	16	0	0.99
2	CAR	15	1	1.54
2	NYI	11	0	0.72
3	CAR	21	1	0.82
3	NYI	9	0	0.56
4	CAR	4	0	0.09
4	NYI	5	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.4 - 2.2