New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2023-05-01 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 0 New York Rangers

Win Probability

NJD: 67.1%

NYR: 32.9%

Expected Goals

NJD: 4.00

NYR: 2.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 56%

NJD

A. Schmid

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	A. Schmid	31	31	0	100.0%	1.99	0	1.99
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	24	20	4	83.3%	4.80	6	0.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NJD at home vs NYR: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NYR
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	1	1.13
1	NYR	11	0	0.53
2	NJD	17	3	2.13
2	NYR	19	0	0.65
3	NJD	9	2	1.54
3	NYR	15	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 0 New York Rangers

Expected: 4.0 - 2.1