Seattle Kraken at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2023-04-30 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

COL: 47.2%

SEA: 52.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.03

SEA: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	27	25	2	92.6%	1.42	0	-0.58
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	34	33	1	97.1%	2.53	0	1.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • COL at home vs SEA: 5-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	COL	20	0.76
1	SEA	11	0.46
2	COL	21	1.27
2	SEA	18	0.60
3	COL	9	0.50
3	SEA	11	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3