Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-04-21 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers (OT)

Win Probability

LAK: 52.1%

EDM: 47.9%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.16

EDM: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

LAK

J. Korpisalo

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Korpisalo	40	38	2	95.0%	4.51	1	2.51
EDM	Stuart Skinner	31	28	3	90.3%	2.53	1	-0.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • LAK at home vs EDM: 9-12

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	9	0	0.68
1	EDM	10	0	0.90
2	LAK	13	0	0.66
2	EDM	24	1	2.06
3	LAK	11	0	0.62
3	EDM	22	0	1.50
4	LAK	5	1	0.57
4	EDM	1	0	0.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0