Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-04-23 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 5 Edmonton Oilers (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 57.4%

EDM: 42.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.34

EDM: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 54%

LAK

J. Korpisalo

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Korpisalo	42	37	5	88.1%	3.86	0	-1.14
EDM	Stuart Skinner	39	35	4	89.7%	3.60	0	-0.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • LAK at home vs EDM: 9-12

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	LAK	16	1.14
1	EDM	13	1.02
2	LAK	12	0.97
2	EDM	30	1.74
3	LAK	20	1.24
3	EDM	12	0.74
4	LAK	4	0.25
4	EDM	7	0.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8