Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2023-04-25 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

EDM: 56.5%

LAK: 43.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.17

LAK: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 52%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

LAK

J. Korpisalo

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	28	25	3	89.3%	2.14	2	-0.86
LAK	J. Korpisalo	27	21	6	77.8%	3.70	4	-2.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • EDM at home vs LAK: 14-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	17	4	2.37
1	LAK	16	1	0.93
2	EDM	13	0	1.00
2	LAK	8	0	0.25
3	EDM	7	0	0.34
3	LAK	13	1	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8