Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-04-29 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

LAK: 48.1%

EDM: 51.9%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.05

EDM: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 54%

LAK

J. Korpisalo

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Korpisalo	26	21	5	80.8%	3.06	2	-1.94
EDM	Stuart Skinner	44	40	4	90.9%	3.64	2	-0.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • LAK at home vs EDM: 9-12

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	19	0	0.82
1	EDM	17	0	1.23
2	LAK	18	1	1.80
2	EDM	9	1	0.99
3	LAK	13	1	1.01
3	EDM	12	1	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3