Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2023-05-07 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 8 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

NJD: 57.4%

CAR: 42.6%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.05

CAR: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 50%

NJD

V. Vanecek

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	30	26	4	86.7%	3.04	4	-0.96
CAR	Frederik Andersen	34	26	8	76.5%	2.73	0	-5.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • NJD at home vs CAR: 6-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	0	0.73
1	CAR	12	0	0.46
2	NJD	23	0	1.05
2	CAR	22	3	1.51
3	NJD	11	0	0.94
3	CAR	12	1	1.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 8 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0